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Krungsri Research now projects the outbreak would pose a negative impact to the Indonesian economy of 3.5 ppt, at the same magnitude as Singapore

Auto production is forecast to drop by -3.5% to -2.5% annually from 2024 to 2026 as a result of weakness in the domestic market through 2024 and greater competition from imported EVs. However, output should improve somewhat in 2025 and 2026. Domestic sales in 2024 will decline by -4.5% to -3.5%

Over 2024 to 2026, the outlook for the domestic EV industry will remain positive thanks to strength on both the demand and supply sides of the market, driven by: (i) the continuation of subsidies for buyers of BEVs, which will help to push new registrations of total passenger BEVs to an annual total of around 190,000 vehicles; (ii) the enforcement of provisions in the EV 3.0 and EV 3.5 measures requiring manufacturers to compensate for imports of EVs with domestically produced vehicles;

Growth in the value of the domestic market for pharmaceuticals is forecast to slip to just 2.5% in 2021. This is largely due to Thailand’s 3rd wave of Covid-19, which has caused a drop off in hospital visits for those seeking treatment for less serious conditions. However, over 2022 and 2023, annual growth in the market should accelerate to 3.5% on: (i) a rising concern among Thais over personal health and wellness, itself partly a side-effect of the Covid-19 pandemic; (ii) the aging of Thai society, which is driving an increase in the number of individuals needing treatment for chronic non-communicable diseases; (iii) the broad coverage provided by the Universal Health Coverage scheme; and (iv) the return of foreign patients to Thai hospitals.

IMF cuts global growth forecast amid mounting geopolitical and trade risks, while inflation continues to weigh on Thailand’s economy

การระบาดของโควิด-19 ระลอกที่ 3 มีแนวโน้มสูงกว่าที่คาด โดยตัวเลขการคาดการณ์ผู้ติดเชื้อรายวันเข้าสู่กรณีเลวร้าย

Regional Economic and Policy Developments in January

Electric Motorcycles: Challenges and Pathways for Industry Transformation

Thailand: Election results signal a more stable government and smoother policy execution, lifting near-term economic sentiment.

Automobile production is projected to expand gradually by 0.5-1.5% per year during 2026-2028, driven by increased manufacturing investment and excise tax reductions for hybrid vehicles (HEVs and MHEVs).